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Boeing 787 Dreamliner over downtown Seattle
Courtesy Boeing/Randy's Journal
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MONTREAL - September 2, 2010
Boeing (NYSE: BA) forecasts that air carriers in
North America will take delivery of about
7,200 new airplanes over the
next 20 years at an investment of
$700 billion.
New airplane deliveries in
Canada and the
United States will be driven largely by the need to retire older, less fuel-efficient single-aisle airplanes and regional jets, as airlines replace them with new-generation, more fuel-efficient models.
For the purposes of the
Boeing forecast, the North America market consists of the U.S. and Canada.
Mexico is included in Boeing's forecast for Latin America.
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Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes.
Courtesy Boeing/Randy's Journal |
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"North America is a large, mature market, and we expect passenger traffic for the region to grow at a modest rate of 3.4 percent," said
Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes,
who released Boeing's 2010 North America market outlook today in Montreal.
"The fast-paced lifestyles in Canada and the U.S. require rapid, frequent and reliable coast-to-coast and interregional transportation. Driven by this demand, nearly three-quarters of the new deliveries over the next 20 years will be single-aisle airplanes."
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Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner
Courtesy of Boeing
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Taking retirements of airplanes into account, the
North America fleet will grow from
6,590 airplanes today to about
9,000 airplanes by 2029.
Boeing forecasts that single-aisle airplanes will grow from
56 percent of the total
North America fleet today to
71 percent of the fleet by 2029.
Airlines are increasingly focusing on airplane age as fuel-thirsty, older airplanes weigh increasingly on earnings.
Increased attention to aviation's impact on global climate change also will be a factor in selecting airplanes that produce
lower carbon emissions.
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Boeing 787 Brings New Efficiencies to Market
Courtesy of Boeing |
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Newer airplane types such as the
Next-Generation 737 offer significant advantages in environmental performance as well as improved capabilities, fuel efficiency and maintenance costs.
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First flight test 787 Dreamliner
Courtesy Boeing/Randy's Journal |
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"After several years of losses among the region's air carriers, we're seeing signs of improvement and airlines are beginning to implement fleet renewal plans as they look to the future,"
Tinseth said.
"To help meet this demand, Boeing Commercial Airplanes will continue to work closely with our more than 500 suppliers and partners in Canada. Boeing imports parts and services from Canada amounting to more than a billion U.S. dollars a year, more than $625 million of which is associated with Boeing Commercial Airplanes."
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Boeing 787 Dreamliner Lands in Colorado Springs
Courtesy of Boeing |
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Twin-aisle fleets will evolve in the region as airlines continue to expand international point-to-point services to a wider range of airport pairs and frequencies.
Small- and mid-sized twin-aisle airplanes will grow to represent 19 percent of the
North America fleet by 2029.
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Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner cockpit
Courtesy of Boeing |
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Within the
North America market,
Boeing sees a demand for
1,180 new, efficient
twin-aisle airplanes such as the
787 Dreamliner.
Twin-aisles will account for only 16 percent of total airplane demand in the region over 20 years but will have a proportionally higher share of delivery cost, at 37 percent of the overall investment.
Large airplanes (747-size and larger) will not see significant demand in
North America, with only about
40 units (all freighters), or one percent of the total investment.
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Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner
Courtesy of Boeing |
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Boeing also forecasts declining demand for regional jets in
North America as airlines shift to more fuel-efficient turboprops or larger jetliner models.
High fuel prices, intensified competition and the superior efficiencies of larger single-aisles will take a toll on the economics of small regional jets. This category will account for just 4 percent of the total investment for new airplanes, with only
800 new regional jet deliveries over the next 20 years, nearly all for replacement.
Contact:
Jim Condelles
Boeing Commercial Airlines
International Communications
+1 206-766-2924
More information on the
North American market forecast can be found at:
http://www.boeing.com/commercial/cmo/north_america.html
SOURCE Boeing
http://boeing.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=43&item=1399
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