Brussels, Belgium - November 25, 2013 - The research, commissioned by OGP and carried out by the independent consultancies Poyry Management Consulting and Cambridge Econometrics, has quantified for the first time how much Europe's economy could benefit from domestic shale gas production. Shale gas could add a total of 1.7 trillion to 3.8 trillion euros to the economy between 2020 and 2050. The development of shale gas in Europe could add as many as one million jobs to the economy, make industry more competitive and decrease the region's dependence on energy imports, according to a new study released today.
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Photo courtesy of OGP
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Brussels, Belgium - November 25, 2013
The development of shale gas in Europe could add as many as one million jobs to the economy, make industry more competitive and decrease the region’s dependence on energy imports, according to a new study released today.
The research, commissioned by OGP and carried out by the independent consultancies Poyry Management Consulting and Cambridge Econometrics, has quantified for the first time how much Europe’s economy could benefit from domestic shale gas production.
Shale gas could add a total of 1.7 trillion to 3.8 trillion euros to the economy between 2020 and 2050.
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Photo courtesy of OGP
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“Europe is still in a period of difficult economic and social recovery. This new study shows that shale gas production could have significant economic benefits,” said Roland Festor, OGP’s EU affairs director.
“While it may not be a game changer as in the United States, shale gas development in Europe could take full advantage of the lessons learned,” he explained.
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Gas from shale. Hydraulic fracturing rig.
Photo courtesy of OGP
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“We cannot afford to forego such an opportunity; every cubic meter of gas produced from EU shale resources means one cubic meter less of imported gas. That would translate into more jobs, more disposable income, better security of supply and ultimately more prosperity,” Mr. Festor explained.
“We encourage policy makers to create the right conditions for exploration,” he said.
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Berlin EGM focuses on industry challenges & opportunities.
OGP Chair Gordon Birrell set the tone for the Association’s EGM in Berlin by addressing the challenges – including climate change – ahead for the upstream industry, which ‘has a positive role to play’.
Berlin, 26th November 2013.
Photo courtesy of OGP |
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The study modelled the impact of domestic shale gas development on the economy of the EU28, using three different scenarios, each with differing production levels.
According to the results, shale gas operations could trigger the creation of between 400,000 and 800,000 new jobs by 2035, and between 600,000 to 1.1 million by 2050.
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Lewino Frac
The Lewino-1G2, Gdansk W Concession in Poland's northern Baltic Basin.
Photo courtesy San Leon Energy |
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Many of these jobs would be in the industries most affected by Europe’s crisis – and would be in net addition to any new jobs generated by other sectors, including the renewable energy industry.
Domestic production could reduce dependence on gas imports to between 62% and 78%, down from an otherwise predicted 89% of demand in 2035.
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Lewino Frac
The Lewino-1G2, Gdansk W Concession in Poland's northern Baltic Basin.
Photo courtesy San Leon Energy |
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The less Europe spends on energy imports, the more it can invest internally, stimulating national and local economies.
Between 2020 and 2050, investment in the EU could increase by 191 billion euros, while tax revenues could increase by 1.2 trillion euros.
Indigenous gas production could also reduce energy prices compared with a no-shale gas scenario.
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Lewino Frac
The Lewino-1G2, Gdansk W Concession in Poland's northern Baltic Basin.
Photo courtesy San Leon Energy |
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Relatively lower prices would increase the income available to households and reduce costs for industry, making European products more competitive internationally.
The full study is available at:
http://www.poyry.co.uk/news/poyry-study-investigates-macroeconomic-effects-european-shale-gas-production
For addition information, please contact:
Alessandro Torello
Communications Manager, OGP
Tel: +32 (0)2 566 9148
Mobile: +32 (0)499 69 55 19
Email: alessandro.torello@ogp.be
About OGP
OGP represents most of the world’s leading publicly-traded, private and state-owned oil & gas companies, oil & gas associations and major upstream service companies.
Our members produce more than half the world’s oil, about one third of its gas and account for trillions of USD in revenue.
OGP represents the upstream oil and gas industry before international regulators and legislators.
Our Brussels office is the voice of the industry in its interaction with the European Union.
Our head office in London represents the industry in such UN bodies as the International Maritime Organization and the Commission for Sustainable Development.
OGP also works with the World Bank and with the International Organization for Standardization (ISO).
It is also accredited to a range of regional bodies that include OSPAR, the Helsinki Commission and the Barcelona Convention.
We also help members achieve continuous improvements in safety, health and environmental performance and in the engineering and operation of upstream ventures.
OGP’s extensive international membership brings with it a wealth of know-how, data and experience.
Source: OGP
http://www.ogp.org.uk/
Raport OGP: Gaz łupkowy może dać Europie ponad milion nowych miejsc pracy
Bruksela, Belgia – 25 listopada 2013
Wydobycie gazu łupkowego w Europie może do 2050 roku przynieść ponad 1 milion miejsc pracy, obniżyć ceny energii dla gospodarstw domowych o około 10 procent i zwiększyć unijne PKB przez 30 lat nawet o 3,8 bln euro - wynika z badania zleconego przez organizację producentów gazu OGP.
Międzynarodowe Stowarzyszenie Producentów Ropy i Gazu Ziemnego (OGP) opublikowało raport o możliwych makroekonomicznych skutkach produkcji gazu łupkowego w Europie.
Badanie wykonali konsultanci Poyry Management Consulting oraz Cambridge Econometrics.
„Rozwój gazu łupkowego w Europie może przynieść gospodarce milion miejsc pracy, uczynić przemysł bardziej konkurencyjnym, a także może zmniejszyć zależność regionu od importu energii” - oświadczył Roland Festor, dyrektor OGP do spraw Unii Europejskiej.
„Europa wciąż przeżywa trudności gospodarcze. Nowe studium pokazuje, że produkcja gazu łupkowego może przynieść znaczące korzyści ekonomiczne” - oświadczył Roland Festor.
Przyznał jednak, że gaz łupkowy może nie przynieść aż takiej rewolucji w Europie, jaką przyniósł w Stanach Zjednoczonych.
W badaniu przeanalizowano dwa scenariusze: gdy technicznie byłoby możliwe wydobycie 15 proc. lub 20 proc. szacowanych zasobów gazu łupkowego w Europie (54 biliony metrów sześciennych).
W pierwszym przypadku do 2050 roku ceny energii dla gospodarstw domowych spadłyby o 8 proc., a w drugim - bardziej optymistycznym - o 11 proc.
W latach 2020-2050 w przypadku wydobycia 15 proc. zasobów gazu łupkowego, oszczędności mogłyby sięgać 245 mld euro, a 540 mld euro w przypadku 20-proc. wydobycia.
Bez wydobywania gazu łupkowego w 2035 roku kraje UE byłyby w 89 proc. uzależnione od importu gazu.
Przy wydobyciu gazu łupkowego na poziomie 15 procent zasobów uzależnienie to spadłoby do 78 procent, a przy wydobyciu na poziomie 20 procent - do 62 procent.
W mniej optymistycznym scenariuszu wydobycia gazu łupkowego, zatrudnienie netto miałoby wzrosnąć w Europie o 0,4 mln miejsc pracy do 2035 roku i o 0,6 mln do 2050 roku. W bardziej optymistycznym: o 0,8 mln do 2035 r. i o 1,1 mln do 2050 roku.
Jeśli chodzi o wzrost unijnego PKB, to - według badania - mogłoby ono wzrosnąć kumulatywnie o 1,7 bln euro między 2020 a 2050 rokiem w mniej optymistycznym scenariuszu, a przy boomie łupkowym - o 3,8 bln euro w analogicznym okresie.
Zdaniem autorów badania, krajami, które mogłyby wieść prym w wydobyciu gazu łupkowego mogłyby być głównie Niemcy i Francja.
Dopiero w następnej kolejności wymieniana jest Polska, Wielka Brytania oraz Szwecja, Dania, Holandia i Hiszpania.
Źródło: OGP
http://www.ogp.org.uk
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